| Interview
with FA Hayek |
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I
had the privilege of meeting Friedrich von Hayek twice. He
was a brilliant man.
In 1986, Gary North and I met with Hayek in his summer home
in the Austrian Alps.
We discussed what made "Austrian" economists so
different from the rest of the economics profession.
He noted that he and Ludwig von Mises, his mentor, had predicted
the 1929 Crash and 1930s Depression, while eminent economists
John Maynard Keynes and Irving Fisher had not. Keynes and
Fisher had not thought there was any inflation in the 1920s
-- commodity and consumer prices were stable.
On the other hand, the Austrians (Hayek and Mises) always
look beyond macro aggregate statistics and break the economy
down into "micro" sectors. They noted that there
was inflation in the stock market, real estate and industrial
sectors.
I was able to use the Austrian model to predict the 1987 Crash
and to get my subscribers out of the market six weeks before
Black Monday, October 19, 1987 (my 40th birthday!).
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