|
WALL
STREET JOURNAL -- THURSDAY, OCTOBER 9, 1997
Keynesianism
Defeated
By Mark Skousen
In 1992, Harvard Prof. Greg Mankiw was paid an unprecedented
advance of $1.1 million to produce the "next Salmuelson"--a
successor to Paul Samuelson's "Economics," the most
successful economics textbook ever written, with more than
four million copies sold in 15 editions and 41 foreign translations
since 1948. Mr. Mankiw's 800-page "Principles of Economics"
has now been published, to great publicity. And for good reason:
Mr. Mankiw has written a revolutionary--or rather, counterrevolutionary--work.
Virtually the entire book is devoted to classical economics,
leaving the Keynesian model as an afterthought in the end
chapters. Mr. Mankiw's pedagogy is all the more remarkable
given that he considers himself a "neo-Keynesian."
His liberal bias has allowed him to do what no other mainstream
economist dares: He has betrayed Keynes.
Almost all economics textbooks published in the past 50 years
have taken their cue from Mr. Samuelson, whose major influence
was John Maynard Keynes's "The General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money" (1936). Keynes's book
taught that Adam Smith's classical model--founded on the virtues
of thrift and balanced budgets, laissez faire capitalism and
free trade--was a "special" case and only applied
in times of full employment.
Keynes's model portrayed the market as a driver without a
steering wheel, a driver that could push the economy off the
road at any time. He taught that the economy needed a large
and activist government to steer it on the road of full employment.
Keynesianism, or the "new economics," became widespread--the
"general" theory.
Modern economics textbooks thus focused primarily on the ups
and downs of the capitalist system and how government policy
could attempt to ameliorate the business cycle. They include
many chapters studying cyclical fluctuations, while burying
the study of economic growth and development--otherwise known
as supply-side economics--in the back pages. Now Mr. Mankiw
has changed all that, putting classical economics back at
the forefront, where it belongs.
This is more than some free-market economists have been able
to accomplish in tile past. James Gwartney and Richard Stroup,
authors of "Economics: Private and Public Choice"
(Dryden, 1997), don't believe in the Keynesian model of aggregate
supply and aggregate demand, or AS-AD, but they were forced
to include it by their publisher's review board, which consists
of mainstream economists. Roger LeRoy Miller, author of another
best-selling textbook, "Economics Today" (Addison-Wesley,
1997), told me, "AS-AD is a bunch of nonsense, but I'm
required to teach it." (One small victory: Paul Heyne
refused to put AS-AD in his "The Economic Way of Thinking"
(Prentice-Hall, 1997) and got away with it because he writes
for a niche market.)
So, in a Nixon-goes-to-China twist, it took a Keynesian to
accomplish what the free-market economists couldn't--relegating
Keynesian models to a minor role in textbooks.
Mr. Mankiw calls his classical model "the real economy
in the long run." His textbook, published by Harcourt
Brace's Dryden Press, teaches that increases in government
spending crowd out private capital, producing higher interest
rates. Higher thrift and greater savings produce lower interest
rates and higher economic growth. Unemployment is caused not
by greedy industrialists, but by minimum wage laws, collective
bargaining, unemployment insurance and other regulations that
raise the cost of labor.
Mr. Mankiw even approvingly quotes Milton Friedman: "inflation
is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon"--not
the product of rising labor or supply costs, as many Keynesians
believe. In fact, Mr. Mankiw cites Mr. Friedman more than
he cites Keynes.
This is not to say that Mr. Mankiw's textbook isn't without
a few sins of omission. He fails to tell students about the
great postwar economic miracles of Japan, Germany, Hong Kong,
Singapore and Chile. He also ignores the current debate over
Social Security privatization. And there are no references
to the great Austrian economists Ludwig von Mises and F.A.
Hayek, or to Nobel laureate James Buchanan and the public
choice theory he espouses.
But these complaints are small compared with the book's overall
message, that classical economics is now the "general"
theory and Keynesian economics is the "special"
case. Amazingly, Mr. Mankiw doesn't mention most of
the standard Keynesian analysis: No "consumption function,"
no "Keynesian cross," no "propensity to save,"
no "paradox of thrift"-- and only one short reference
to the "multiplier"!
That's quite a feat for Mr. Mankiw, a man who named his dog
Keynes.
|